Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.919190 3.072823 3.234605 3.418433 3.622478 3.843154 4.101411
2025-04-20 2.679463 2.890417 3.123169 3.401719 3.729761 4.108783 4.587539
2025-04-27 2.505355 2.757283 3.046279 3.408132 3.857979 4.412026 5.169328
2025-05-04 2.390448 2.679078 3.022310 3.471138 4.060307 4.836910 5.998454
2025-05-11 2.267628 2.579281 2.961082 3.479242 4.193288 5.196723 6.841573
2025-05-18 2.147090 2.471632 2.879069 3.449685 4.270319 5.493828 7.691206
2025-05-25 2.008737 2.331133 2.742677 3.331813 4.205458 5.567002 8.197806
2025-06-01 1.910891 2.235964 2.658107 3.276478 4.224261 5.776385 9.048999
2025-06-08 1.833040 2.161690 2.595526 3.245409 4.274899 6.050034 10.177722
2025-06-15 1.775670 2.110769 2.560632 3.250511 4.382888 6.452049 11.878098
2025-06-22 1.700083 2.030948 2.479837 3.178572 4.352352 6.583131 12.975007
2025-06-29 1.624585 1.947615 2.389195 3.084015 4.271259 6.595633 13.748821
2025-07-06 1.544287 1.858701 2.292183 2.982703 4.186048 6.626407 14.847527
2025-07-13 1.505135 1.825255 2.273846 3.005680 4.331825 7.224794 19.267462
2025-07-20 1.471045 1.797201 2.261712 3.038088 4.503723 7.971678 27.244044
2025-07-27 1.448996 1.785027 2.272441 3.110180 4.771008 9.134263 49.788815
2025-08-03 1.416534 1.756056 2.255472 3.132756 4.942172 10.150748 114.802231
2025-08-10 1.378621 1.717241 2.220685 3.120142 5.034844 10.994175 761.174302
2025-08-17 1.326827 1.655789 2.146910 3.030205 4.934402 11.057619 NaN
2025-08-24 1.288951 1.613592 2.101710 2.989686 4.946535 11.621022 NaN
2025-08-31 1.257468 1.579683 2.067997 2.967814 5.001376 12.449098 NaN
2025-09-07 1.233897 1.556684 2.050623 2.975413 5.133296 13.837211 NaN
2025-09-14 1.199015 1.515259 2.001071 2.916542 5.081071 14.187931 NaN